The resurrection of Jesus is both a man returning to life and the man coming back changed and able to walk through walls and live without food etc.  He comes back saved glorious.

That is not one miracle.  Its two.

Bayes Theorem is about assessing how probable a reported event is.  It is based on the prior data.

Some say the return to life cannot be assessed by Bayes as there is a zero prior probability of it happening.

So the glorifying of Jesus in his return cannot be assessed by Bayes as there is a zero prior probability of it happening.

That is two.

Religion manipulatively wants you to think only of the return to life for that make it easier to get over the Bayes hurdle.

The following argument can apply to either case.

What if we make a distinction between it just being improbable or the notion that its improbable for such a wonder to happen for it to have to depend on writings from decades later?  There is no evidence that the gospel accounts of the returned Jesus even got rudimentary checking.